Tuesday, April 27, 2010

The Goldman Sachs Witch Hunt






Very rarely do I comment on active investigations which are taking place in Washington. However, the current witch hunt, yes, "witch hunt!" that is directed at Goldman Sachs is full of total hypocrisy and a waste of taxpayer money. Congress is supposedly concerned that Goldman participated in unethical trading practices and thus reaped huge profits during the height of our nation's financial crisis. Congress is only now asking questions about what really happened-- almost three years later! They believe they owe it to us, the taxpayers, to "get to the bottom of things" which took place during the biggest financial crisis to hit our country in almost 70 years. Somehow Congress feels that by putting executives at Goldman on national television it will send a message to the voters that they are doing their job.

In fact, Congress was asleep at the wheel as the financial storm clouds were forming. For example, they turned a blind eye as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac actually encouraged excessive lending practices to low income home buyers throughout the 1990's causing these quasi-government entitites to need to eventually get bailed out by the taxpayer. More than one of the former Board members at Fannie and Freddie are now Presidential Cabinet members or close advisors. Look it up. Where where these Congressional Committees then?

Some important facts are coming out during this present investigation:

1. Congress doesn't have a clue what Goldman actually does. Goldman serves as a market maker in multiple levels of security transactions to help the markets remain liquid. They MUST participate in either side of a buy/sell trade depending on whatever side the counter-party takes. A market-maker buys when others are selling. A market-maker sells when others are buying. By nature of the magnitude of these transactions there is huge risk to the market-maker. They also have the ability to place hedged transactions to help protect each position they take. Congress is somehow alluding that by participating in the other side of transactions, sometimes taking alternate sides in different transactions, this is somehow unethical for a market maker to do.

2. Congress isn't talking about why they selectively let Lehman Brothers to go bankrupt yet they rescued several other financial firms which were ready to go under, but already had buyers. Why this selectivity? The Lehman bankruptcy exacerbated our financial crisis from primarily a mortgage problem to a global financial investment problem. There are reports of many Congressional back-room deals and ultimatums which took place during the height of the crisis. Then they had the audacity to change the rules after TARP money was actually distributed.

3. This witch hunt is also causing much uncertainty in the financial markets at a time when our economy is showing signs of recovery. Markets never like uncertainty and this could cause serious harm at this particular moment in time.

Bottom line: This is nothing more than a dog-and-pony show by Congress to give voters a perception that they are doing something to protect us from the "evil" Wall Street firms. I have one question-- Who is protecting us from Congress?

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Bull Market Continues... Dow Approaches 11,000


We can expect to see repeated attempts and eventual success at breaking the 11,000 level on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This market continues to reflect underlying strength in our economy. This "Silent Bull" continues to rage since early last year. The Bank Stock Index has broken above technical resistance.. a bullish sign but UNDER-REPORTED by the media.

Meanwhile, the "experts" still expect the bottom-to-fall-out. They continue to watch in disbelief. I spoke with a self-proclaimed business owner from New Jersey who was visiting Florida a few months ago. He assured me this economy would "tank.. and the market with it." Here we are almost 1,000 points higher on the Dow and the economy is still picking up steam. Don't confuse inherent market risks with what is actually happening out there. Unemployment is still a LAGGING INDICATOR. Sure, we could see some unforseen event cause shock waves through the market. And some of the Fed Board members are warning us that the Fed may need to raise rates "in the future." But don't let this sidetrack your thinking that this market CAN AND WILL MOVE HIGHER! The 11,000 level is an important psychological and technical level of support/resistance. Remember, this bull market is still a baby compared to other historic moves.

Note: The above is for information purposes only. Any decision to buy, hold, or sell a security for a specific portfolio should be reviewed with your own personal investment advisor.